And the latest math shows that Obama could pull off a dramatic last-second national general election

U.S. Senate races have received less attention in a national media obsessed with the presidential race between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. But Nevada s U.S. Senate container store ny contest could decide that balance of power in Congress for the next two years, as the state becomes flush with campaign cash.
And the latest math shows that Obama could pull off a dramatic last-second national general election win by taking Clark County, the home of Las Vegas, in at least three scenarios, and possibly in a fourth scenario, if Obama also takes one electoral vote in Nebraska.
In the current polling estimates used by Real Clear Politics , the Democrats lead the Republicans with 46 projected Senate seats, to 43 for the GOP. (The Democratic total includes three Independents who are likely to vote with the Democrats.)
Among the 11 toss-up races are a few that have received a lot of national publicity: the nasty battle between Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts; the Todd Akin-Claire McCaskill contest in Missouri; and the Linda McMahon match with Chris Murphy in Connecticut.
Among container store ny the 11 toss-up states, the Democrats have significant polling leads in just Virginia, Ohio, and Wisconsin, which just happen to be presidential swing states that should see a lot of campaign spending.
Missouri GOP candidate Akin remains in a tight race against McCaskill, container store ny in a contest the Democrats had already put in their win column. Assuming McCaskill can pull out a win, the Democrats would remain one vote short of a clean majority.
Their best shot could be Chris Murphy in Connecticut, who is facing a well-funded campaign from McMahon, a self-made professional wrestling billionaire. Murphy is up by 3.4 percent in current consensus polling.
The irony is that Nevada could be the state that has a huge role in deciding the presidential race, too. It will be the last swing state to report voting results on Election Day, with its polls closing at 7 p.m. Pacific Time. Obama’s Winning Bet In Las Vegas Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Tie Scenario Base Electoral Votes 237 237 237 237 Ohio 18 18 New Hampshire 4 4 4 4 Wisconsin 10 10 10 Virginia 13 Iowa 6 6 Colorado 9 Nevada 6 6 6 Total 271 270 272 269 *270 Electoral votes needed to win
As of September 9, presidential and congressional candidates had spent an unprecedented $32 million in Nevada, and that number will only grow, says an influential Wells Fargo analyst who tracks campaign spending.
One scenario has the Obama campaign taking just three of nine remaining swing states (Ohio, container store ny Iowa, and New Hampshire) container store ny before Nevada reports its results, for a total of 265 electoral votes. Romney would have 267 electoral votes at that point.
A second scenario has Obama winning just Virginia, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin among the nine swing states before Nevada reports, for a total of 264 electoral votes. Add six votes from Nevada, and the president remains in office.
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